Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 11.368843 13.069897 14.890497 16.978504 19.301297 21.800214 24.686075
2025-10-05 9.176860 11.498548 14.155569 17.399913 21.231742 25.590038 30.897374
2025-10-12 7.796407 10.436425 13.614906 17.679910 22.693088 28.623717 36.116130
2025-10-19 6.724550 9.534315 13.067874 17.766978 23.773451 31.110552 40.657514
2025-10-26 5.680637 8.506581 12.209164 17.314095 24.055499 32.530628 43.850772
2025-11-02 4.886157 7.700323 11.529980 16.986691 24.406701 33.975945 47.054280
2025-11-09 4.221465 6.988410 10.892536 16.630124 24.646956 35.230735 50.000527
2025-11-16 3.678121 6.385090 10.338992 16.321709 24.895292 36.460896 52.911296
2025-11-23 3.164960 5.765119 9.697157 15.821165 24.817347 37.209394 55.160995
2025-11-30 2.870264 5.454086 9.481304 15.911315 25.558184 39.082790 58.977494
2025-12-07 2.604036 5.158229 9.258327 15.963377 26.227347 40.859280 62.695267
2025-12-14 2.393073 4.931503 9.121150 16.127499 27.054108 42.871072 66.787777
2025-12-21 2.164124 4.651454 8.879057 16.115929 27.621599 44.541048 70.470620
2025-12-28 2.034497 4.537176 8.900807 16.522164 28.839944 47.196848 75.649398
2026-01-04 1.894001 4.385935 8.844598 16.790552 29.844850 49.557762 80.454131
2026-01-11 1.738346 4.186906 8.686848 16.874007 30.550511 51.480455 84.653845
2026-01-18 1.524569 3.844984 8.244001 16.439955 30.393296 52.071570 86.866653
2026-01-25 1.351206 3.564125 7.887109 16.126218 30.407092 52.911123 89.459392
2026-02-01 1.193668 3.296185 7.530044 15.784588 30.349300 53.623580 91.861499
2026-02-08 1.058644 3.059844 7.212156 15.489138 30.347366 54.411852 94.386817
2026-02-15 0.919601 2.793837 6.810685 15.009730 29.999565 54.623245 96.002956
2026-02-22 0.849229 2.683387 6.714927 15.096064 30.635010 56.437429 100.179939
2026-03-01 0.781776 2.570881 6.604845 15.145925 31.203160 58.151560 104.232536